How Abortion Can Stop a Republican Political Tsunami This Fall – The North State Journal

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FILE – A group of anti-abortion protesters pray together outside the U.S. Supreme Court, December 1, 2021, in Washington, as the court hears arguments in a Mississippi case, where a 2018 law would ban abortions after 15 weeks pregnant, long before viability. As the Supreme Court weighs the future of the landmark 1973 Roe v. Wade decision, a resurgent anti-abortion movement seeks to assert its edge in state-by-state battles as abortion-rights supporters prepare to play defense. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File)

If political tsunamis had names, this upcoming midterm election might be called “Biden” by future political historians.

The catwalk of far-left politics that liberal socialist Democrats AOC, Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren forced him to follow has failed miserably. Inflation is hotter than North Carolina summers in August. Gas prices are through the roof. Vladimir Putin invaded Ukraine after Biden basically said a “minor incursion” was okay. There are still thousands of Americans left behind after his botched withdrawal of troops from Afghanistan.

Biden’s approval/disapproval ratings according to Gallup are a dismal 42/54. Other reputable polls have it in the mid-30s or lower.

To put these horrific numbers into context, Bill Clinton’s approval rating plummeted to 46% from 46% disapproval just before the 1994 midterm elections. Republicans won 52 House seats and took the control of Congress for the first time in forty years.

President Barack Obama’s Gallup approval/disapproval ratings fell to 45/47 in November 2010 after he signed into law Obamacare the previous March and the Tea Party exploded. The Democrats lost 63 seats in Congress, second only to FDR’s historic loss of 81 seats in 1938.

Biden’s poor political numbers portend a massive loss of Democratic seats in Congress this fall. Any Democratic incumbent who has won by 10% or less in the past is vulnerable. If they all lost, the Republicans would win 89 seats in Congress and five in the US Senate.

But before Republican pops open the champagne, they need to be reminded that Republicans have a rich history of snatching defeat from the jaws of victory in the past. Especially when it comes to Republican male candidates talking about women’s reproductive rights coming into play this summer. The Supreme Court is due to issue its decision in Texas’ Dobbs case, which could overturn the Supreme Court’s 1973 Roe v. Wade decision and return future abortion rulings to the state level.

In 2012, Democrats held a 53-47 majority, but most analysts believed Republicans had at least a 60% chance of winning enough seats to regain majority control of the Senate given the country’s mood. and low Obama approval ratings.

Republican candidate for the Missouri Senate, Congressman Todd Akin, was leading in the polls against Claire McCaskill by 10% before saying in a television interview that “most legitimate rapes do not lead to pregnancy”. He then lost by 16 points, a swing of 26 points.

Indiana’s Republican Senate candidate, State Treasurer Richard Mourdock, said during his final debate, “I realized that life is this gift from God. And even when life begins in this horrible situation of rape, it is something that God intended to happen”.

Foster Friess, a prominent supporter of Republican presidential candidate Rick Santorum, didn’t help anyone when he said during an interview with NBC’s Andrea Mitchell, “On this contraceptive thing, my God, it’s so [sic] cheap. You know, in my day, they used Bayer aspirin for contraception. The girls put it between their knees, and it wasn’t that expensive,” which he later dismissed as a joke – but it wasn’t funny.

Older white Republican candidates making what can best be described as “clumsy” statements on abortion and rape were a major reason Republicans suffered a net loss of two seats to stay in the minority instead of taking control of the Senate in 2012.

It may happen again this year. If the Supreme Court issues a decision in late June or July that upholds the Texas law and essentially overturns Roe v. Wade, then pro-choice forces will have every reason to energize their supporters to come out and vote in large numbers. Any Republican candidate need only make a similarly awkward statement about abortion or rape and the eventual Republican tsunami of 2022 will be reduced to a mere ripple in the kiddie pool.

Democratic strategists are praying that Donald Trump will announce his White House candidacy before the fall election so they can once again make him their boogeyman. They need something for voters to ignore their abysmal political failures since Jan. Democrats’ prayers will be answered this fall.


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