Hurricane center increases chances of formation of Gulf of Mexico system – Orlando Sentinel


The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor a system in the Gulf of Mexico with a small chance of developing into a tropical depression.

In its Saturday 8 p.m. tropical update, the NHC said the weak low pressure area off the coast of Texas has increased shower and thunderstorm activity.

“While there is potential for terrestrial interaction for the disturbance to become more defined as it moves ashore Sunday morning, significant system development is not expected,” the forecasters said.

Whether or not the system develops, local rainfall is possible along the Texas coast throughout the weekend.

The NHC gives the system a 20% chance of forming in the next 48 hours, up from 10% on Saturday morning.

Hurricane season is approaching the part of the year known as the peak of the season, which is known for the most prolific production of storms between mid-August and mid-October, with September 10 being recorded as the statistically most productive storm day in the tropics.

The 2022 season so far has seen three named storms: Alex, Bonnie and Colin. Based on historical averages, the fourth named storm of the year typically appears on August 15. If a system were to emerge, it would be given the name Danielle.

Last week, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reaffirmed its preseason forecast of an above-average hurricane season with a range of 14 to 21 named storms. NOAA expects most of these storms to emerge during the height of the season.

Hurricane season ends on November 30.

Writer Joe Mario Pedersen contributed to this report.

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