A quiet August in the tropics turned into a busy September with two named tropical cyclones scouring the Atlantic Basin: Hurricane Earl and Hurricane Danielle.
While both systems are currently far from land, the outer Earl Rainbands flooded parts of Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands over Labor Day weekend, and now they are moving north. in the general direction of Bermuda.
On Tuesday evening, Hurricane Earl was centered less than 600 miles south of Bermuda with maximum sustained winds estimated at 75 mph.
Earl is expected to move slowly north or north-northeast through Wednesday before picking up speed and turning more northeast by Thursday.
Strengthening is forecast and Earl is expected to become a hurricane in the coming days. Earl will likely make its closest pass to Bermuda Thursday night through Friday morning as a Category 1 or 2 hurricane.
Due to the expected impacts, the country’s government has issued a tropical storm watch for the archipelago.
A tropical storm watch means wind gusts between 39 and 73 mph are possible within the next 48 hours.
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Earl is not expected to have a direct impact on the United States as he will likely head into open North Atlantic waters this weekend after passing near Bermuda over the weekend. However, the storm will bring an increased threat of rip currents to beaches along the eastern seaboard over the next few days.
Current forecasts indicate that Earl will become the first major Atlantic hurricane of the season by Friday after moving away from Bermuda. A major hurricane is a hurricane that reaches Category 3 or above on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale.
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Hurricane Danielle swirls across the North Atlantic
Danielle became the first Atlantic hurricane of the season last Friday after August ended without named storms for the first time in decades. But Danielle is circling harmlessly over the open waters of the North Atlantic and is centered more than 800 miles west-northwest of the Azores.
After weakening to a tropical storm for most of Saturday, Danielle re-emerged into a Category 1 hurricane late Saturday evening and maintained that status through Tuesday.
Hurricane Danielle continues to move slowly east-northeastward in a general direction of northern Europe. Danielle is expected to gradually weaken over the next few days as she stays away from land.
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Two other areas to watch for development
In the eastern tropical Atlantic, an area of showers and disorganized thunderstorms extends from the Cape Verde Islands to the southwest for several hundred kilometers in association with a large area of low pressure.
According to the FOX Forecast Center, environmental conditions are favorable for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form in a few days as it moves west to west-northwest at 15 to 20 mph in the morning. above the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. However, upper level winds are expected to become less favorable for development by the weekend.
The National Hurricane Center currently gives the system a medium chance of development within the next five days.
The National Hurricane Center monitors the eastern and central tropical Atlantic for possible development.
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Additionally, a tropical disturbance over West Africa is expected to emerge off the eastern tropical Atlantic within a day or two.
According to the FOX Forecast Center, environmental conditions appear generally conducive to the slow development of this disturbance as it moves west-northwestward over the eastern tropical Atlantic.
The NHC is currently giving the tropical disturbance a low chance of developing over the next five days, but those chances could increase beyond the five-day outlook, so be sure to check for updates.