Invest 96L could become a tropical depression as it approaches the Caribbean islands, Puerto Rico

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As is typical for the peak of hurricane season, the FOX Forecast Center is tracking a robust disturbance moving across the central tropical Atlantic that could develop into a tropical depression as it watches the northern Caribbean islands -east and Puerto Rico at the end of this week.

The tropical disturbance is centered less than 800 miles east of the northeastern Caribbean islands and is producing a broad area of ​​showers and thunderstorms. Satellite observations indicate that this shower and storm activity is showing signs of organization after finding a pocket of favorable environmental conditions on Wednesday morning.

ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON REACHES CLIMATE PEAK SEPT. ten

Invest 96L is being watched for possible tropical development over the next few days.
(FOX Weather)

This disturbance was dubbed Invest 96L by the National Hurricane Center. An investment is simply a naming convention used by the NHC to identify a weather area it is studying for possible development into a tropical depression or tropical storm within the next five days.

WHAT IS AN INVESTMENT DURING HURRICANE SEASON?

According to the FOX Forecast Center, upper winds are not particularly conducive to further development, but only a slight increase in the organization of this disturbance would cause a tropical depression to form as it generally moves eastward. west over the central tropical Atlantic over the next day or two.

The NHC is currently giving Invest 96L a big chance for development.

The circled area is being monitored for possible tropical development in the Atlantic.
(FOX Weather)

The tropical disturbance is expected to move near or over the northeastern Caribbean islands, including the US Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico, Friday and Friday
night.

“What this means is that the northern islands of the Lesser Antilles, (including) Puerto Rico, need to be on alert now as we expect to see showers and thunderstorms beginning to increase in this activity, and we We could see some pretty strong wind gusts from these storms intensifying again in these warmer Atlantic waters,” said FOX Weather meteorologist Jane Minar.

Recent rainfall has saturated Puerto Rico’s soils, so any additional Invest 96L rainfall between Friday and Saturday could lead to flooding in urban areas and small streams, as well as trigger mudslides on the mountainous terrain of the archipelago.

WHERE TROPICAL STORMS AND HURRICANE TYPICALLY OCCUR DURING EACH MONTH OF THE ATLANTIC HURRICANE SEASON

The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season is off to a slow start

Early to mid-September is the time of the season when sea surface temperatures are warmest, upper winds ease, and drier air is generally not prevalent.

Unlike the last active years, dry air was more dominant than usual in the eastern parts of the Atlantic basin, which delayed the organization and development of tropical cyclones.

August ended without seeing a single tropical cyclone in the Atlantic Basin for only the second time in the satellite era.

2022 HURRICANE SEASON: AUGUST ENDS WITHOUT A NAMED STORM FOR THE FIRST TIME IN DECADES

While Atlantic hurricane season officially runs from June 1 to November 30, September 10 is the date when the most hurricanes and tropical storms have occurred in historical records.
(FOX Weather)

In an average year, eight named storms and three hurricanes have typically formed, but so far in 2022 the tally stands at just five named storms and two hurricanes.

The next system to organize into a tropical storm with winds of at least 40 mph will be called Fiona.


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