Lisa is intensifying into the 6th Atlantic hurricane of 2022 as it nears landfall in Central America on Wednesday

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Lisa escalated into hurricanethe sixth of the 2022 season in the Atlantic, over the northwest Caribbean Sea as it heads for a landfall in Central America later Wednesday.

Life-threatening storm surge, damaging winds and flash flooding will all pose significant threats as Hurricane Lisa slams onto the coast and moves inland through Belize, northern Guatemala and southeastern Mexico.

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Where is Hurricane Lisa?

By late Wednesday morning, Hurricane Lisa was centered about 55 miles east-southeast of Belize City.

Lisa is packing maximum sustained winds of 80 mph as it moves west across the northwest Caribbean Sea. This makes it a Category 1 hurricane on the Hurricane Saffir-Simpson Wind Scale.

The National Hurricane Center assigns names to tropical storms and hurricanes in one of six rotating lists. A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of at least 74 mph – an upgrade from a tropical storm.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION VS. TROPICAL STORM VS. HURRICANE: WHAT’S THE DIFFERENCE?

Tracking Hurricane Lisa.
(FOX Weather)

Where are the watches and warnings in effect for Hurricane Lisa?

A Hurricane warning was issued for the coast of Belize and the Yucatán Peninsula in Mexico, from Chetumal to Puerto Costa Maya. Hurricane-force winds (over 74 mph) are expected along the coast of Belize and the southeastern Yucatán Peninsula Wednesday afternoon.

The Bay Islands of Honduras and the northern coasts of Honduras and Guatemala are under Tropical storm warning, as does the Yucatán Peninsula in Mexico, from Puerto Costa Maya to Punta Allen. Tropical storm-force winds (over 39 mph) are expected over parts of the Bay Islands and northern Honduras over the next few hours before spreading to northern Guatemala and the Yucatan Peninsula later Wednesday.

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Current watch and warnings in effect along the path of Hurricane Lisa.
(FOX Weather)

What is the forecast for Hurricane Lisa?

The FOX Forecast Center expects Hurricane Lisa to continue to strengthen as it tracks west across the northwest Caribbean Sea until it reaches the coast of Central America . This path means Lisa will make landfall in Belize later Wednesday, then cross northern Guatemala and move into southeastern Mexico by Thursday.

Hurricane Lisa will pose no threat to the U.S. Gulf Coast, even if the track drags a weakened tropical depression into the warm Bay of Campeche for the weekend. A cold front sweeping across the Gulf of Mexico will keep Lisa repressed to the south until it collapses early Monday.

“Expect it to weaken over land – of course we’re going to deal with the impacts of that friction, and it’s going to rain on its own – but it could eventually come back to the South Bay from Campeche,” the FOX Weather meteorologist said. Jane Miner said. “We will have to watch this closely, but at the moment the dynamic in the United States means that no concerns are expected. It does not raise any red flags there.”

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The projected path and intensity of Hurricane Lisa.
(FOX Weather)

What are the expected impacts of Hurricane Lisa?

According to the FOX Forecast Center, Hurricane Lisa is expected to produce 4 to 6 inches of rain in parts of Belize and northern Guatemala, as well as parts of the Mexican states of Quintana Roo, Campeche, Tabasco, Chiapas and Veracruz. Localized areas could see up to 10 inches of precipitation.

The far southeastern part of Mexico’s Yucatán Peninsula, the Bay Islands of Honduras, central Guatemala and the south-central state of Campeche in Mexico could see 2 to 4 inches of rain, with amounts insulated up to 6 inches.

Heavy rains could lead to flash flooding in these areas along Hurricane Lisa’s path, particularly across Belize and into northern Guatemala, the far southeast of the Yucatán Peninsula and parts of the Mexican states of Campeche, Tabasco, Chiapas and Veracruz.

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Furthermore life-threatening storm surge will likely increase water levels up to 4 to 7 feet above normal tide levels near and north of where the center of Hurricane Lisa crosses the coast of Belize and in the far south -east of the Yucatán Peninsula.

Elsewhere, a storm surge of 2 to 4 feet is possible within the tropical storm warning area along the eastern Yucatán Peninsula, with 1 to 3 feet possible for the Honduran Bay Islands.

The FOX Weather FutureTrack for Hurricane Lisa.
(FOX Weather)

The 2022 Atlantic hurricane season is near average

Lisa is the 12th named storm and sixth hurricane of the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season. Martin became the 13th storm of the season Tuesday in the central North Atlantic and later became the seventh hurricane on Wednesday.

This is only the third time that there have been two November hurricanes simultaneously in the Atlantic. Previous years were 1932 and 2001.

HOW TO WATCH FOX WEATHER

An average Atlantic season includes 14 named storms and seven hurricanes, so the season runs very close to average in early November.

Atlantic hurricane season does not officially end until November 30, which means there is still time for an additional storm to develop. In reality, an area of ​​the southwest Atlantic Ocean is currently being watched for possible tropical development over the next few days.

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