National Hurricane Center releases first outlook for 2022 season – NBC 6 South Florida


The National Hurricane Center released its first tropical weather forecast on Sunday for weather conditions in the Atlantic Basin ahead of the start of hurricane season.

According to outlooktropical cyclone formation is not expected for the North Atlantic, Caribbean Sea or Gulf of Mexico in the next 5 days.

Forecasts are released four times a day from May 15 to November 30 and outline significant areas of severe weather and their potential for tropical cyclone formation. In the event of hurricanes or tropical storms in the Atlantic, the NHC generally emits more.

Although the official date for the start of hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin is June 1, cyclones have appeared earlier in recent years.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration will announce its initial outlook for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season at a May 24 press conference at the New York City Emergency Management Department in Brooklyn.

Speakers will give the government’s official forecast for the number of named storms and hurricanes expected for the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season and provide advice on how the public can prepare for the season, which begins on July 1. June and ends November 30.

According to the annual long term forecast released in April by Colorado State University, the upcoming Atlantic hurricane season will have “above normal activity” and record four major (category 3-5) hurricanes.

The hurricane season in the Atlantic Basin — which officially ends Nov. 30 — is expected to record a total of nine hurricanes, topping the average of 7.2, according to CSU.

As a reference, CSU takes the averages established by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) of the United States based on the history recorded between 1991 and 2020 in the Atlantic.

CSU estimates that 2022 will also have 19 named storms, topping the average of 14.4, and 90 named storm days, topping the average of 69.4.

The probability of a major hurricane in the United States is estimated to be about 135% of the long-range average, according to CSU. Major hurricanes pack winds of a minimum of 111 miles per hour.

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