Tropical Storm Fiona could become a hurricane as it approaches Puerto Rico

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Fiona should get stronger as it moves through several Caribbean islands over the next few days.

At 11 a.m. Saturday, the National Hurricane Center said Fiona would likely be at or near hurricane strength as it moves near Puerto Rico on Sunday.

The National Hurricane Center also monitors two tropical waves, including a new one that appeared on Friday morning off the Carolinas.

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Forecast of excessive precipitation

Most models place Fiona moving west toward Puerto Rico and Hispaniola before taking a northerly path east of Florida, but forecasters warn the path could shift eastward. east or west depending on the conditions.

Several factors will determine Fiona’s intensity over the next few days and into the next week, including wind shear, dry air, and land impact on the tropical storm.

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AccuWeather forecasters expect wind shear in the Gulf of Mexico and nearby guiding winds to move Fiona north after reaching the Bahamas.

If so, early predictions indicate that Fiona could miss the United States. However, with Fiona still over a week away, weather conditions may change, including a southerly dip of the jet stream.

This could allow Fiona to stroll near the Atlantic coast of the United States next weekend and beyond, AccuWeather forecasters said.

Residents of Florida’s east coast, as well as coastal residents upstate, have been urged to keep a close eye on Fiona’s progress.

Here is the latest update from the NHC as of 11 a.m. on September 17:

Tropical Storm Fiona

  • Location: 130 miles southeast of St. Croix;
  • Maximum wind speed: 100 km/h
  • Direction: west at 8 mph
  • Next notice: 2 p.m.

As of 11 a.m., the center of Tropical Storm Fiona was located 130 miles southeast of St. Croix. Fiona is moving west at nearly 8 mph. A west-northwest motion with a similar forward speed is expected to begin later in the day, followed by a northwesterly turn by Sunday evening.

Data from the Air Force Reserve and NOAA’s Hurricane Hunter planes indicate that maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph, with higher gusts. Tropical storm-force winds extend outward up to 125 miles from the center.

A hurricane warning is in effect for:

  • Puerto Rico, including Vieques and Culebra

A hurricane watch is in effect for:

  • US Virgin Islands
  • south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano west to Cabo Caucedo
  • north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano west to Puerto Plata

A tropical storm warning is in effect for:

  • Saba and Saint-Eustache
  • Saint-Martin
  • Guadeloupe, Saint-Barthélemy and Saint-Martin
  • US Virgin Islands
  • British Virgin Islands
  • south coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano west to Cabo Caucedo
  • north coast of the Dominican Republic from Cabo Engano west to Puerto Plata

A tropical storm watch is in effect for:

  • south coast of the Dominican Republic west of Cabo Caucedo in Barahona

The National Hurricane Center said Turks and Caicos and southeast Bahamas interests should also monitor Fiona’s progress.

Spaghetti Patterns for Tropical Storm Fiona

See the latest patterns on where Tropical Storm Fiona could go.

Colorado State University 2-Week Forecast September 15-28

Colorado State University’s hurricane forecast for September 15-28 gives the highest ratings for above normal activity – 50% – with lower ratings for normal activity – 40% – and below normal – 10%.

When is Atlantic hurricane season?

Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 to November 30.

When is the peak of hurricane season?

The ultimate peak of hurricane season is September 10, but the season continues until November 30.  Credit: NOAA

Although the season got off to a slow start, the peak of the season is September 10, with the most activity occurring between mid-August and mid-October, according to the Hurricane Center.

Weather watch and warning issued for your area

Tropical forecast for the next five days

See the National Hurricane Center’s graphical five-day tropical weather forecast below.

Forecast of excessive precipitation

What’s over there?

Tropical conditions 8:00 a.m. September 17, 2022.

Systems currently monitored by the National Hurricane Center.

And after?

We will continue to update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download the app from your local site to make sure you’re always connected to the news. And look at our subscription specials here.


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